Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.000165 0.000185 0.000205 0.000229 0.000256 0.000284 0.000317
2025-08-03 0.000137 0.000163 0.000192 0.000228 0.000271 0.000320 0.000380
2025-08-10 0.000115 0.000145 0.000180 0.000225 0.000282 0.000350 0.000439
2025-08-17 0.000101 0.000133 0.000173 0.000227 0.000297 0.000385 0.000506
2025-08-24 0.000088 0.000121 0.000164 0.000223 0.000305 0.000411 0.000563
2025-08-31 0.000078 0.000112 0.000157 0.000222 0.000314 0.000440 0.000624
2025-09-07 0.000071 0.000104 0.000152 0.000222 0.000325 0.000470 0.000690
2025-09-14 0.000064 0.000097 0.000146 0.000220 0.000332 0.000495 0.000750
2025-09-21 0.000059 0.000093 0.000143 0.000223 0.000346 0.000531 0.000827
2025-09-28 0.000055 0.000088 0.000140 0.000224 0.000358 0.000563 0.000901
2025-10-05 0.000050 0.000083 0.000135 0.000222 0.000364 0.000587 0.000965
2025-10-12 0.000048 0.000081 0.000135 0.000227 0.000382 0.000631 0.001062
2025-10-19 0.000045 0.000078 0.000133 0.000229 0.000395 0.000668 0.001153
2025-10-26 0.000041 0.000074 0.000129 0.000229 0.000405 0.000701 0.001240
2025-11-02 0.000038 0.000070 0.000125 0.000227 0.000410 0.000727 0.001318
2025-11-09 0.000036 0.000067 0.000123 0.000229 0.000423 0.000766 0.001421
2025-11-16 0.000033 0.000064 0.000119 0.000225 0.000427 0.000790 0.001496
2025-11-23 0.000031 0.000061 0.000116 0.000224 0.000434 0.000820 0.001587
2025-11-30 0.000029 0.000058 0.000113 0.000224 0.000443 0.000854 0.001688
2025-12-07 0.000027 0.000055 0.000110 0.000222 0.000448 0.000881 0.001776
2025-12-14 0.000026 0.000054 0.000109 0.000225 0.000462 0.000926 0.001904
2025-12-21 0.000024 0.000052 0.000108 0.000226 0.000474 0.000966 0.002024
2025-12-28 0.000023 0.000050 0.000105 0.000225 0.000479 0.000995 0.002123